Agreed, variables are numerous. Consider the location of brush, trees and debris, both on shore, as well as in the water, especially at or near the surface. Another consideration is the history of wind direction, intensity, ambient temperature, humidity, and types of precipitation, if any, during the open water to transition to ice over. Now would be a good time to think of any springs in said pond/lake in addition to in-flows of seeps, creeks, seasonal run-offs and , believe it or not, drain fields from septic systems, which can be quite warm and thus degrade ice nearby and above. The sun and close by walls and fences can result in degradation of nearby ice thru radiation of heat gathered by same. Gently rolling hills and shadows from nearby bluffs should not be ignored. If a compass direction is desired, I refuse to indicate, lest that put you in danger ~ I don't want you blood on my conscience. You've proven lack of trust of Idahogator ~ this just helps you make up your own mind. Have a nice season and let us know how it goes.
No animals were harmed in the typing of this reply.
