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Author Topic: NOAA Winter Prediction  (Read 1937 times)

Offline jr_the_dj

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NOAA Winter Prediction
« on: Oct 10, 2007, 09:30 AM »
Well make what you want out of it. I just wish it would go back to "the way it used to be"

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2007/20071009_outlook.html



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Offline Sven936

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Re: NOAA Winter Prediction
« Reply #1 on: Oct 10, 2007, 09:34 AM »
Yeah I saw it last night.   It just sucks >:( >:(     I am hoping they are about as right as they normally are.     I am thinking of breaking out the most accurate forcaster I know     Weather rock  ;D   It is almost never wrong.......   

Hope for the cold...   Bring on a new ice age!!!!

Sven
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Offline Icenutter

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Re: NOAA Winter Prediction
« Reply #2 on: Oct 10, 2007, 11:43 AM »
Evern though they are predicting warmer conditions than the 30 year average it still says it will be 1.3 degrees colder than last year.  Last year wasn't too bad even though we had a late start.  They can predict all they want, but it is up to mother nature.
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Offline vermonner

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Re: NOAA Winter Prediction
« Reply #3 on: Oct 11, 2007, 09:38 PM »
I hope it's not true.  I tend to believe it when I see it.
I want an earlier start than last year
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Offline bobrdown

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Re: NOAA Winter Prediction
« Reply #4 on: Oct 12, 2007, 07:10 AM »
I still am hoping to be able to get on the ice the week after Thanksgiving.
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Offline Mainehazmt

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Re: NOAA Winter Prediction
« Reply #5 on: Oct 12, 2007, 07:43 AM »
We need a major volcano eruption!   that will help  cool it down

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Offline Fish_Tko

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Re: NOAA Winter Prediction
« Reply #6 on: Oct 16, 2007, 10:43 AM »
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/16740387/



makes you wonder if something this far away will have a global weather pattern impact.
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Offline Mainehazmt

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Re: NOAA Winter Prediction
« Reply #7 on: Oct 16, 2007, 01:46 PM »
Quote from: Fish_Tko on Oct 16, 2007, 10:43 AM
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/16740387/



makes you wonder if something this far away will have a global weather pattern impact.
I believe Mt stHelens did   may be wrong though
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Offline Icenutter

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Re: NOAA Winter Prediction
« Reply #8 on: Oct 17, 2007, 07:25 AM »
I have never understood the NOAA predictions.  If they say a 33% chance of warmer than normal temps wouldn't that mean that there is also a 67% chance of below normal temps?   ;D
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Offline nd.walleye

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Re: NOAA Winter Prediction
« Reply #9 on: Oct 17, 2007, 07:27 AM »
Or at least normal - i dont even pay attention to this thing anymore ;) ND is always equal chances.
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Offline Fish_Tko

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Re: NOAA Winter Prediction
« Reply #10 on: Oct 17, 2007, 07:30 AM »
You never know what you are going to get in Indiana. On the worst years we still get 4 or 5 weeks of good ice in the end of jan/feb. Last year i tore the pike up between christmas and new years out of the boat. It was a blast.
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There is only one theory about angling in which I have perfect confidence, and this is that the two words, least appropriate to any statement, about it, are the words "always" and "never."

Offline Kodiakman

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Re: NOAA Winter Prediction
« Reply #11 on: Oct 21, 2007, 06:54 PM »
I find it very interesting that they made these predictions using data from 1971 to 2000.  That means the data from the last 7 years isn't included in their forecast.  Nor is any data for the +/- 100 years of recorded temperture data before 1971.

Looks to me like their trying to paint the same old doom & gloom picture.  Don't fall for it.  I'm not saying this year will be colder or warmer.  I'm just saying something is fishy about this particular "prediction".
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Offline Sven936

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Re: NOAA Winter Prediction
« Reply #12 on: Oct 21, 2007, 11:08 PM »
Quote
I find it very interesting that they made these predictions using data from 1971 to 2000.  That means the data from the last 7 years isn't included in their forecast.  Nor is any data for the +/- 100 years of recorded temperture data before 1971.

Good Call Kodiakman.....    It seems funny that anyone can bend the data and statistics to a certain view...

They say 73% of statistics is made up anyway..    ::) ::) ::)   If you can believe that even  ;)

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