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Author Topic: SOUTHERN N.Y. THREAD (L.I., WESTCHESTER, PUTNAM, DUTCHESS, SULLIVAN, ORANGE COUN  (Read 538335 times)

Offline Gamalot

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I am sure my wife pays WPDH's electric bill advertising her casino on their station every day 24/7/365. I can't get any FM station over here in Forestburgh except one from Honesdale.

Gam
If I agreed with you we would both be wrong!

Offline Gamalot

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I just got this today. Not sure it tells us if the ice will firm up early or not but I have my hopes.

National Weather Forecasting, LLC
 Meteorological Consulting, Forecasting & Analysis
 “Serving Clients with Expert Weather Services Since 1985
 Main Office at Teterboro Airport – Teterboro, N.J.
 Mailing: P.O. Box 1063 - Lodi, N.J. 07644
 Phone: 201-288-1824 – Fax: 201-257-8462
 “Serving Clients with Expert Weather Services Since 1985”
 Email: dan@nationalweatherstation.com Website: www.nationalweatherfor ecasting.com
Attention: Storm Warning Client – Director/Supt./Owner
From: Dan Ventola
Date: 10/1/18
LONG RANGE WINTER FORECAST: 2018-2019 For NY state,
NYC/Long Island, New Jersey and eastern PA.
Second in a series of long range winter forecasts. Our first one was sent on
August 1, 2018. These long range winter forecasts are sent to our clients on
August 1, October 1 and the final on December 1. This update is as of October 1,
2018. Next long range will be sent on December 1, 2018.
If you recall, last summer, we had a very accurate long range winter forecast.
We work with various experts on long range forecasting and combine those
forecasts with our own in-house meteorologists analyses and come up with the a
highly accurate long range forecast. As we know, long range forecasting can be
a very tough road to hoe but we do our best and the below information is what
we have come up with. The following is our second long range winter forecast
for the upcoming winter. Next one to be sent on December 1, 2018.
______________________ ______________________ ____________________
LONG RANGE WINTER WEATHER FORECAST: DECEMBER 1, 2018 TO
MARCH 31, 2019.
Headline: Above normal Snowfall for the winter. And
temperatures will average slightly below normal.
Look for our first cold air outbreak early this season, around MID OCTOBER.
Also, we are forecasting an early start to winter in terms of the odds of snowfall.
Watch for something as early as late October to mid November then more
significant “events” later November and December.
January will have it’s usual “January thaw” but not last too long. Still above
normal snowfall in January. February and March look to be closer to normal
temperatures with February above normal snowfall and March near normal
snowfall.
More specifically, we are forecasting snow totals this winter to be 35% to 55%
above normal totals! Temperatures will average 1 to 3 degrees below normal
with some periods of excessively cold air.
Thank you.

Gam
If I agreed with you we would both be wrong!

Offline kb

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Awesome!!    Glad to hear.  My summer fishing was a bust, I’m hoping winter will be better..


With deer season kissing in as of the first, good luck and stay safe all.

><((((º>`·.¸¸.·´¯`·.¸.·´¯`·...¸><((((º>¸.
·´¯`·.¸. , . .·´¯`·.. ><((((º>`·.¸¸.·´¯`·.¸.·´¯`·...¸><((((º>

Offline hardwater diehard

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Give a man a fish he eats for a day .Teach a man to ice fish he has an obsession for a lifetime

Offline joechicago

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  • ...if it's frozen drill it.
Holy cow, winter's almost here already. We've got winter seasons here on the saltwater, but I would like to try some hardwater fishing this year. I'll be watching the ice reports from down here on the coast. Good luck all.

Joe
God does not count in man's allotted span, the days spent fishing.

Offline Gamalot

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Holy cow, winter's almost here already. We've got winter seasons here on the saltwater, but I would like to try some hardwater fishing this year. I'll be watching the ice reports from down here on the coast. Good luck all.

Joe

Mid 20s the past few mornings here in Sullivan County with a light dusting of snow this morning. I rarely ever see safe ice, IMO! 6", much before the new year. I will be pleasantly surprised if it comes early this season and not at all surprised if it doesn't. Rifle deer season starts on Saturday and in the past I have needed a T shirt and bug spray sitting in a tree for a few days on the first week. I doubt this year will be like this but again, it wont surprise me with this funky weather pattern we have had all year long. Keep watching as the forum will begin getting busy in short order.

Gam
If I agreed with you we would both be wrong!

Offline deweyicefish

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Hello guys just checking in ...  always like to see what’s going on ...  best of luck deer hunting KB ..  I will be out there Saturday...
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Offline kb

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If I didn’t have too much to do between work and the honey-do list, I help out for the sake of just helps out. 

Good luck. 
><((((º>`·.¸¸.·´¯`·.¸.·´¯`·...¸><((((º>¸.
·´¯`·.¸. , . .·´¯`·.. ><((((º>`·.¸¸.·´¯`·.¸.·´¯`·...¸><((((º>

Offline domfy

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We're getting close now... wondering if anyone has ever attempted a camera on any of the NYC reservoirs? Don't imagine it'd be worth it with our water clarity, but I've never tried. Anyone?

Offline NYBasser

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We're getting close now... wondering if anyone has ever attempted a camera on any of the NYC reservoirs? Don't imagine it'd be worth it with our water clarity, but I've never tried. Anyone?

I've tried on a smaller lake in Sullivan County. Main problem is water clarity and sunlight. When the ice is covered by snow it blocks a lot of sunlight from getting through so the bottom ends up pretty dark on camera.

Offline hardwater diehard

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The small ponds/lakes that usually lock up first are locked up now ...some really gray ice ..but locked up.. not safe enough to test but nice to see so early .
Give a man a fish he eats for a day .Teach a man to ice fish he has an obsession for a lifetime

Offline mr.clean

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  • new windsor,ny.
Hello good to see people returning as we wait for the start of another ice fishing season. May all of you have Happy Thanksgivings with family and friends.
Steve

Offline domfy

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Yea... I was thinking of adding one to the arsenal but I doubt it'd be worth it for our reservoirs. Just another thing to lug out there lol

Offline jiignut

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I’m guessing on my observations of waters in the area and the forecast, Saturday morning might be a shallow pond GO time. Don’t try this at home.

Online BlueSail

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I believe it was two or three years ago I drilled a couple of holes the day after Thanksgiving...that pond has been iced over since last week, and unless last night's rain caused havoc, I will be venturing out Friday or Saturday to jig for some panfish. But on the other hand it was two or three years ago that I went sailing on a lake near that pond...one way or the other I guess.
Getting excited for the upcoming season.

Offline hardwater diehard

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I believe it was two or three years ago I drilled a couple of holes the day after Thanksgiving...that pond has been iced over since last week, and unless last night's rain caused havoc, I will be venturing out Friday or Saturday to jig for some panfish. But on the other hand it was two or three years ago that I went sailing on a lake near that pond...one way or the other I guess.
Getting excited for the upcoming season.

Thinking the same thing ..Jet sled and some plastics ..doesn't look to be much wind for Friday or Saturday.
Give a man a fish he eats for a day .Teach a man to ice fish he has an obsession for a lifetime

Offline jiignut

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Will definitely be checking Friday, nice day!


Offline IceBalls

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Hi Guys.... nice to see the "Old Crew" is still active !!!  Down here in Nassau County, the Striped Bass are jumping into the boat!!!  Some pretty nice Blackfishing too !!  The years are creeping up on the old IceBalls and pains and medical issues are factoring in these days.  Don't know if I'll be able to hit the ice this season, but I'm certainly going to try !!  As they say " The golden Years can Kiss My Ass" !!



Offline deweyicefish

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        Hello Iceballs nice to here from you... Yes some fof the guys at work were catching the stripped Bass a lot of them ..They bring some in for me Tasty indeed.... :) :)
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Offline Gamalot

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Hi Guys.... nice to see the "Old Crew" is still active !!!  Down here in Nassau County, the Striped Bass are jumping into the boat!!!  Some pretty nice Blackfishing too !!  The years are creeping up on the old IceBalls and pains and medical issues are factoring in these days.  Don't know if I'll be able to hit the ice this season, but I'm certainly going to try !!  As they say " The golden Years can Kiss My Ass" !!

Yes Roger, as the saying goes "Too Old-Smart". I am felling it as well but will still get out there every day I can. Just have to pick my days more carefully, at least 6 inches of good ice, no heavy winds and temps above 20 degrees seems to still work for these old bones. I can't take the trudging through deep snows or the nasty cold and windy days like I used to but I hate sitting around this house when I ought to be out fishing. Golden years my ass!

Gam
If I agreed with you we would both be wrong!

Offline jiignut

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Is this thread broken? Looks like a great week to solidify everything back up.

Online BlueSail

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Is this thread broken? Looks like a great week to solidify everything back up.
Looks like you've "unbroken" it", and true dat, I'm hoping to get out Sunday morning; my local spot was solid this morning!

Offline deweyicefish

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   I was thinking about giving it a try at my early ice spot... :)
images.jpeg

Offline flounderman

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Checkin in, good to see my winter ice friends again. Went through all my gear last weekend and waiting on a bait delivery. Won't be long. Good luck catching and be safe out there.

Offline kbaez

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any safe ice in Sullivan county yet or ulster? starting to get the itch to drill a hole

Offline Gamalot

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any safe ice in Sullivan county yet or ulster? starting to get the itch to drill a hole

None that I know of yet but I would not be surprised if some small farm ponds are either there or close.

Gam
If I agreed with you we would both be wrong!

Offline coorslightguy

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Starting to get a skim on white pond & some of the surrounding reservoirs......finger s crossed

Offline NYBasser

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Hope everyone is doing well. We have 3-4 inches in southern WI and the ice season has already begun. Hope to get on some early ice in NY when I get back for winter break in a week.

Offline kbaez

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driving around lower orange and 95% of the lakes are skimmed over only a matter of time. stay safe during first ice

Offline alexg425

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Starting to get a skim on white pond & some of the surrounding reservoirs......finger s crossed

drilled holes at the pond in California Hill this AM - about 1.5 inches... was holding my weight when I was on it but I didn't risk it.

 



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