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Author Topic: Predictions of first ice this year??  (Read 1660 times)

Offline Fish_Slayer11

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Predictions of first ice this year??
« on: Nov 10, 2017, 08:30 AM »
When is your guess you will be on first ice by?

Offline Oscoda Ice

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #1 on: Nov 10, 2017, 08:41 AM »
Really hoping for second week of December. See how long we can hang on to these colder temps.

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Offline fishinagain

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #2 on: Nov 10, 2017, 08:49 AM »
12/12!! That's my crazy early date, definitely before Christmas if the accuweather extended forecast is close. Good little cold snap coming first week of December, and in the end.

https://m.accuweather.com/en/us/big-rapids-mi/49307/extended-weather-forecast/21536_pc?page=2
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Offline Wgorby

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #3 on: Nov 10, 2017, 09:03 AM »
12/9 is the earliest I have been on safe ice in West MI....my guess is 12/15 this year.
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Offline Tipup Master

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #4 on: Nov 11, 2017, 08:47 AM »
When I look at 90 day forecast for SW Mich, I don't see any ice before end of January.

Offline Swift

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #5 on: Nov 11, 2017, 10:58 AM »
When I look at 90 day forecast for SW Mich, I don't see any ice before end of January.
Agreed, seems we have been getting some false/marginal (at best) early ice that leaves early/mid December and doesn't come back until Mid/Late January the last few years. Miss the days of Duck season freezing out and we're on good ice by Thanksgiving

Offline ifish4fishwithteeth

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #6 on: Nov 11, 2017, 11:53 AM »
I hope before Christmas around here. Mid December up north

Offline scout 2

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #7 on: Nov 11, 2017, 03:57 PM »
Houghton Lake had ice this morning along the south side in most spots around 150 yards out some had snow sitting on top of it

Offline DR.SPECKLER

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #8 on: Nov 12, 2017, 08:31 AM »
my realistic guess is the 15th of January or  later..

Offline scout 2

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #9 on: Nov 12, 2017, 09:31 AM »
My pond has been frozen over since Wed. I think I could walk on it but I don't want to swim.

Offline DaveSS1

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #10 on: Nov 13, 2017, 09:14 AM »
Based on the unpredictable forecasts I have been seeing, I am going to say 12/17/17 for West MI.  Not to say I wont travel a few hours North to get on some ice a week or 2 before.  I was just up North and several smaller lakes had skimmed over bays with at least 1/2"-1" of ice.

Offline backinmich

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #11 on: Nov 13, 2017, 02:02 PM »
This is probably the best long range forecast.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=2

It looks like normal temperatures through Feb, but above normal snowfall. Not great, but it could be worse. I'll be pleasantly surprised if we can get on ice around Lansing by Christmas.

Offline michiganoutdoorsman

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #12 on: Nov 14, 2017, 12:22 PM »
12/22 in West Michigan. Too wrapped up in killing fowl to think about ice fishing right now...
I'd rather be fishing!

Offline quack

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #13 on: Nov 14, 2017, 03:34 PM »
Im gonna say I will be ice fishing on Christmas day in the southeast. the earliest that I have ever ice fished was thanksgiving 3 years ago in Northwest Ohio! it was only about 2.5inches of ice and I was on a tiny bay of a small pond but it still counts! As for earliest I can remember in michigan was hillsdale county December 11th 2009 or 2010 or maybe '11 cant remember, it was the day after I had my wisdom teeth removed and was out on about 8inches the next morning!

Either way lets hope sooner than later! :icefish:
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Funniest thing about ice fishing for me is when people who know nothing about ice activities try to warn me about the dangers of the ice...

Offline rusty go0se

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #14 on: Nov 15, 2017, 04:51 PM »
Earliest ive ever hit the ice was December 7th. I think right around Christmas is a pretty good bet to when well be getting out around here.
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Offline Oldreddbeard

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #15 on: Nov 15, 2017, 09:34 PM »
Im going to guess, (for us butt puckers) Around the first of the year (unfortunately).
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Offline papermouth

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #16 on: Nov 16, 2017, 03:02 PM »
12-8-17
    

Offline swidnica

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #17 on: Nov 17, 2017, 12:55 AM »
       I'm guessing 12-2-17 .   I usually get to anxious to wait for three inches of ice so when there is two inches I blow up a queen size air mattress and scoot out  .  Last year I got out on 12-14 .

Offline kenelz

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #18 on: Nov 19, 2017, 05:16 PM »
I remember one year, in the 70s I think, but went out the day after Thanksgiving. A friend went with me, I told him to remember this, it has never happend before, and probably wont happen again. It was in a marina, we caught some gills and crappies.

Offline BLUJBURD

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #19 on: Nov 26, 2017, 08:06 PM »
2nd week of January down here.
I have a B.S. in Narrative Fishing History.

Offline swampbuckster

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #20 on: Nov 30, 2017, 05:38 AM »
The cold front coming is looking promising. Let's hope it sticks around longer than two weeks. I don't know what to expect anymore. The earliest I have been on the ice was November 20th a few years ago. We fished over 4" of ice and I'll never forget a guy was mowing his grass on shore.  ;D
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Offline Oscoda Ice

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #21 on: Nov 30, 2017, 05:41 AM »
I was thinking the same thing. We shall see.

-Kyle
"Fishing is much more than fish. It is the great occasion when we may return to the fine simplicity of our forefathers."    -Herbert Hoover

Offline Lobes

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #22 on: Nov 30, 2017, 08:26 AM »
I'll be optimistic.
I'll throw in a guess for December 27th. That could help ease the pain of the financial tidal wave that follows the cost
of Christmas ...

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Offline RyanW

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #23 on: Nov 30, 2017, 11:48 AM »
With the trend in the long term forecast looking promising....if it holds......I’ll continue the optimism and say between Christmas and New Years.
“When the fish are biting, it really doesn’t matter what you’re using. When the fish aren’t biting, it really doesn’t matter what you’re using” - Uncle Dave

Offline quack

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #24 on: Nov 30, 2017, 04:18 PM »
I took my spud bar out of my truck a couple days ago and it's looking like that might have done the trick ;)
Funniest thing about ice fishing for me is when people who know nothing about ice activities try to warn me about the dangers of the ice...

Offline topwaterbait

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #25 on: Dec 01, 2017, 04:51 PM »
December 16th

Offline scout 2

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #26 on: Dec 01, 2017, 08:14 PM »
 I went by a couple f lakes in the Lake City Cadillac area today and they were ice covered over the whole lake. The ducks and geese were standing on top of the ice. I am sure we will lose it in the next 2 days but after Tues things are going to change

Offline kibbe

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #27 on: Dec 02, 2017, 07:22 AM »
Little Cove on Lake Mitchell is frozen over this morning, so it's a start at least.

Offline jdgambler

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Re: Predictions of first ice this year??
« Reply #28 on: Dec 02, 2017, 10:48 AM »
I'm going to say dec 15th in Livingston county at least on the shallow lakes.
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