Author Topic: Ice prediction (Read 2993 times)

ftwwalleye · « **on:** Nov 30, 2023, 06:50 PM »

What day will be the first for you to walk on hard water this year?
I'll be generous and say December 21..lol.
I already told my girlfriend if we had another crappy winter I was selling my ice gear and buying a fly fishing drift boat.
Hope I see some folks on the water this year. Didn't get to socialize with anyone last year.

zcm_82 · « **Reply #1 on:** Dec 01, 2023, 06:53 AM »

I'm not particularly hopeful this year. It has been pretty warm overall this fall, and all the major long term forecasts are calling for a warm winter overall.

Still... I'll guess around January 5th, because we seem to get a bit of a cold shot around the New Year more years than not.

CL_Outdoors · « **Reply #2 on:** Dec 01, 2023, 12:32 PM »

I think January 12th is when we all get out there.

I've read so many weather outlooks for this winter and most of them say warmer than usual, but the bright side is that there should be less precipitation. Maybe this year will be less worrying about snow insulating the ice.

hounds · « **Reply #3 on:** Dec 01, 2023, 09:22 PM »

I'm taking a trip north.

TeacherPreacher · « **Reply #4 on:** Dec 03, 2023, 01:59 PM »

You're smart!
Teach

Jig_Head · « **Reply #5 on:** Dec 03, 2023, 06:58 PM »

January 7th when I'm up north on a trip

kesdadddy7597 · « **Reply #6 on:** Dec 03, 2023, 07:07 PM »

I will be on the ice on January 2nd, somewhere around Lake Preston, South Dakota. I have a 3 day Snobear trip booked. Nothing like ice fishing in jeans and a sweatshirt when it is 10 below outside!

bigr · « **Reply #7 on:** Dec 04, 2023, 08:49 AM »

Not looking good for 2023 finish on ice. Ten day which is all that i kinda believe. Atleast for a trend. Shows above temps. At best it normally takes atleast a week for good solid ice to form after it finally does turn cold so thats why i'll predict no ice in 23. If we don't have good ice by first week of january it likely will be another short season at best.

zcm_82 · « **Reply #8 on:** Dec 04, 2023, 09:14 AM »

Unless the weather takes a really drastic turn and breaks all the models, I'm figuring on another really short, spotty season like last year.

ftwwalleye · « **Reply #9 on:** Dec 04, 2023, 05:16 PM »

I'll sell all my ice gear and all wheel drives vehicles to ensure the rest of you get a good ice season...pretty sure that's how it works

zcm_82 · « **Reply #10 on:** Dec 05, 2023, 06:11 AM »

Some years we get good ice, some we don't... just the nature of the beast hanging on the tail end of the ice belt

fishinator · « **Reply #11 on:** Dec 06, 2023, 05:14 PM »

I don't even guess anymore. My gear is still in storage. Wasn't worth getting it out last year. Hard to get excited about something that may not even happen. I'll at least make a trip north somewhere though.

CL_Outdoors · « **Reply #12 on:** Dec 12, 2023, 08:27 AM »

Temps are hovering around a freezing average for the next 10 days... won't get my hopes up to be out before the new year, but things are certainly trending in the right direction. Just need that jet stream to dip down and send us into a 48-72 hour ice age to really get things started!

Michigan Slim · « **Reply #13 on:** Dec 12, 2023, 08:45 AM »

Skim ice on the channels here this morning. It won't be here long but the lakes are ready to freeze up when the temps cooperate.

zcm_82 · « **Reply #14 on:** Dec 12, 2023, 08:47 AM »

Not looking good for the next couple weeks.

10 day trend

14 day

buekerbug · « **Reply #15 on:** Dec 12, 2023, 11:25 AM »

I'll be in the lund fishing over the side of the boat.

Hermdog · « **Reply #16 on:** Dec 17, 2023, 06:31 AM »

According to Accuweather the temps are going to take a dive starting on the 28th. Keeping fingers crossed!

Hermdog · « **Reply #17 on:** Dec 18, 2023, 05:08 AM »

Well it didn't take long to change the forecast. Looks like the first week of January the temps are supposed to drop, but it will probably change by then.

jr11888 · « **Reply #18 on:** Dec 18, 2023, 01:44 PM »

I'm more than ready to get on the ice as I'm sure you all are. I'm sure January will get some lakes in the northern part of the state some fishable ice but down here around muncie will probably be later than that if at all but we will see. 😊

zcm_82 · « **Reply #19 on:** Dec 20, 2023, 06:53 AM »

Near future is still looking like trash around here $:-\$ Highs are all 40s/50s in the 10 day forecast.

marmooskapaul · « **Reply #20 on:** Dec 21, 2023, 04:03 PM »

It'll be January 26 but a glorious February with solid ice and below freezing temps through the whole month. We might fish into early March??

XO Paul

zcm_82 · « **Reply #21 on:** Dec 26, 2023, 05:17 AM »

I was over at my brother's place in White County on Saturday, and it was pushing 60° that afternoon $:-\$ 🌴

JDH46151 · « **Reply #22 on:** Dec 28, 2023, 08:12 AM »

Forget freeze up...the ducks haven't even migrated through my area yet.

zcm_82 · « **Reply #23 on:** Dec 28, 2023, 09:00 AM »

Forecast is starting to looking a little more promising over the next week, but ice is gonna be really slow going and dependent on wind.

If it lays down enough to skim up we might end up with something. Got a lot of overnight low 20s, but highs right around/just above freezing in the 10 day local forecast now.

CL_Outdoors · « **Reply #24 on:** Dec 28, 2023, 10:04 AM »

Getting to that point where I'm going to be obsessive with looking at the 10 day.... it's for sure trending in the right direction, just waiting on the day where I load up wunderground and i see that line drop wayyyyyy below 32.

zcm_82 · « **Reply #25 on:** Dec 28, 2023, 10:11 AM »

Same here... I get to be a weather checking addict when it starts teasing us like this

It's better, but still really marginal. Even a 3-5° drop from what they're showing now would really do the trick. 🤞

bigr · « **Reply #26 on:** Dec 28, 2023, 12:50 PM »

I DON'T SEE MUCH OF A REAL TREND OTHER THAN IT GETTIN BACK CLOSE TO THE NORMAL HIGHS AND LOWS. lOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOW TWENTIES AND HIGHS ALMOST ALWAYS REACHING THE FREEZING MARK. YEA IT MIGHT MAKE A COVER BUT NOT REAL GOOD ICE ALL OVER. A COUPLE SUUNNY DAYS WILL MAKE GETTING ON AND OFF THE LITTLE ICE YOU CAN GET ON A HIGH RISK FOR GETTING WET. WE'LL NEED A DEEP FREEZE AND THATS NOT COMING ANYTIME SOON. GOOD NEWS IT CAN HAPPEN PRETTY FAST BUT NORMALLY CAN BE SEEN COMING A WEEK TO TEN DAYS OUT. THEN MAYBE THREE DAYS AND WE'RE ON.

CL_Outdoors · « **Reply #27 on:** Dec 28, 2023, 03:16 PM »

bigr I read that whole reply in a loud yelling voice in my head....

Lol but yes agreed, just hoping by this time next week we can see a temp dive on the horizon

abishop · « **Reply #28 on:** Dec 29, 2023, 04:12 PM »

With all this global warming mumbo jumbo, might not be safe till 3rd week in January. If we are lucky the hard water season will last for 4 to 6 weeks. If you are on the heavy side like me than shorter for sure. Good luck to all. STAY SAFE.

zcm_82 · « **Reply #29 on:** Jan 02, 2024, 05:13 AM »

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Author Topic: Ice prediction (Read 2993 times)