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Author Topic: First ice predictions?  (Read 4191 times)

Offline IcePirate6

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First ice predictions?
« on: Oct 06, 2010, 01:48 PM »
My safe ice bet is 12th of December... :tipup:
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Offline bassin329

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #1 on: Oct 06, 2010, 02:28 PM »
Western MA - DEC 17TH

Central MA - DEC 25TH (Merry Christmas)

Eastern MA - JAN - 1ST (Happy New Year)

This is my safe guess of at least 6 inches. Some folks like to dare Mother Nature with 3 or 4 inches. NO THANK YOU!!!!!!! :cookoo:
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Offline FishingNewEngland

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #2 on: Oct 06, 2010, 02:31 PM »
I'm hoping Ron and I will be first out on Dec. 1st for a third year in a row.  ;D
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Offline rmoody79

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #3 on: Oct 06, 2010, 04:29 PM »
Quote from: bassin329 on Oct 06, 2010, 02:28 PM
Western MA - DEC 17TH

Central MA - DEC 25TH (Merry Christmas)

Eastern MA - JAN - 1ST (Happy New Year)

This is my safe guess of at least 6 inches. Some folks like to dare Mother Nature with 3 or 4 inches. NO THANK YOU!!!!!!! :cookoo:

it better be earlier than that in eastern ma, last year 2nd week of december we were flinging salmon onto the ice in plymouth
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Offline IcePirate6

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #4 on: Oct 06, 2010, 07:26 PM »
six inches safe ... I was thinking 3-4 inch safe
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Offline pikeking

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #5 on: Oct 06, 2010, 07:42 PM »
Quote from: FishingNewEngland on Oct 06, 2010, 02:31 PM
I'm hoping Ron and I will be first out on Dec. 1st for a third year in a row.  ;D
Good luck with that Mark, we were fishing on the day after Thanksgiving last year.
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Offline Roncarr

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #6 on: Oct 06, 2010, 08:16 PM »
Quote from: pikeking on Oct 06, 2010, 07:42 PM
Good luck with that Mark, we were fishing on the day after Thanksgiving last year.
I'm hoping the day after Tday . I just searched it on the forum i had a post on nov 23 2008 first time out and looking at it loooks thin  :o 2 to three inches but i got fish first ice is nice :tipup:pray for cold :tipup:
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Offline Bigbait

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #7 on: Oct 08, 2010, 12:13 AM »
Let see last year was later then normal, two years ago it was first week of Dec .
This year we will be fishing 9 Dec 2010 and it will be nice get black ice.
The way you guys are fighting it better be as soon as possible. ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D
    
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Offline GrizlyGarou

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #8 on: Oct 08, 2010, 01:30 AM »
I haven't had any dreams about ice fishing yet, so I'm going to have to say at least a month before I'm fishing. I think last year it was the 12th or 14th of December before I was on ice with more than my spudbar and a life jacket. Might have been the week before, though. Seems like it will be earlier this year though, I'm going to say December fourth I'll be fishing on ice this year.

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Offline lenz

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #9 on: Oct 08, 2010, 07:25 AM »
central mass

by Nov 30th if all goes well

if i decide to to drive west, by Nov 20th

just give me 1" of black ice...

burp

lenz
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Offline drl823

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #10 on: Oct 08, 2010, 09:35 AM »
Quote from: lenz on Oct 08, 2010, 07:25 AM
central mass

by Nov 30th if all goes well

if i decide to to drive west, by Nov 20th

just give me 1" of black ice...

burp

lenz
The only 1" of black ice that I like comes in cubes and goes in my cocktails............. Jim you are nuts!!!!!!
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Offline finnie

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #11 on: Oct 08, 2010, 11:16 AM »
1 inch haha im paranoid on 4  :'(
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Offline GrizlyGarou

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #12 on: Oct 08, 2010, 11:33 AM »
Quote from: lenz on Oct 08, 2010, 07:25 AM
central mass

by Nov 30th if all goes well

if i decide to to drive west, by Nov 20th

just give me 1" of black ice...

burp

lenz

You're a mad man!  I'll fish on 1" of black ice, as long as it's on top of another two inches...

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Offline lenz

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #13 on: Oct 08, 2010, 06:56 PM »
believe me..i'm not on water that is over my head.

shallow pond up in the hills freezes very early. 26" of ice last year. if it wasn't for all that rain in march, i would normally fish almost thru april.

Bring it on baby!!!

burp

lenz
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Offline THE JIGGER

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #14 on: Oct 08, 2010, 07:03 PM »
Quote from: drl823 on Oct 08, 2010, 09:35 AM
The only 1" of black ice that I like comes in cubes and goes in my cocktails............. Jim you are nuts!!!!!!

Don if we weighed what Lenz weighs we could walk on water ;D ;D ;D ;D
I predict first ice will be when we can safely walk on it
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Offline THE JIGGER

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #15 on: Oct 08, 2010, 09:02 PM »
Quote from: lenz on Oct 08, 2010, 06:56 PM
believe me..i'm not on water that is over my head.

shallow pond up in the hills freezes very early. 26" of ice last year. if it wasn't for all that rain in march, i would normally fish almost thru april.

Bring it on baby!!!

burp

lenz

I think that water was deeper that day at Bear hill or you have grown alot since I saw you last. ;D ;D
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Offline pikeking

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #16 on: Oct 08, 2010, 09:08 PM »
Quote from: drl823 on Oct 08, 2010, 09:35 AM
The only 1" of black ice that I like comes in cubes and goes in my cocktails............. Jim you are nuts!!!!!!
I thought you drank everything warm?
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Offline drl823

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #17 on: Oct 09, 2010, 12:56 PM »
Quote from: pikeking on Oct 08, 2010, 09:08 PM
I thought you drank everything warm?
Nah....ya got to ice that vitamin "V" and cranberry down
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Offline drl823

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #18 on: Oct 09, 2010, 12:59 PM »
Quote from: THE JIGGER on Oct 08, 2010, 07:03 PM
Don if we weighed what Lenz weighs we could walk on water ;D ;D ;D ;D
I predict first ice will be when we can safely walk on it
Ya got that right Dick......we need a good foot before we can fish within about 15 feet of each other!!!
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Offline GrizlyGarou

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #19 on: Oct 09, 2010, 03:21 PM »
H=4(square root of p)

H is the thickness of the ice, p is the total load in tons.

I weigh in at 160 with gear on, so in theory 1.13 inches of clear perfect ice would hold me up. Ain't no way I'm going out on an inch and and eighth, though! My luck, I'd catch a huge fish and as soon as I pulled it out and held it to get the hook out the ice would crack...

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Offline unoman

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #20 on: Oct 09, 2010, 03:45 PM »
Im good with 4 inches....lenz usually will follow me...the fat ass that I am....

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Offline Ice Hopper

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #21 on: Oct 09, 2010, 07:32 PM »
You guys are cracking me up. But you're right, 1st i ce the same for everyone. My buddy Phil is QUITE a hit bigger than I am. I'm 140sh now, but used to only be about 110 (married life lol). We use a spud bar up here in MI called a speedy spud. It takes out over an inch of ice with just a little poke. So it would get comical when we'd be trying to describe the ice conditions to each other at 1st ice.  I could walk on ice that drew water on a poke. Phil needed a hard poke to walk on...brings back lots of tense but humurous memories.
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Offline fishsluggos

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #22 on: Oct 09, 2010, 07:50 PM »
Giddyup!

Freeze Warning

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
800 PM EDT SAT OCT 9 2010

MAZ002-003-008>010-NHZ011-015-100800-
/O.CON.KBOX.FZ.W.0004.101010T0600Z-101010T1200Z/
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-CHESHIRE NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREE NFIELD...ORANGE...
CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFO RD...AMHERST...NORTHAM PTON...JAFFREY...
KEENE...PETERBOROUGH.. .WEARE
800 PM EDT SAT OCT 9 2010

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT SUNDAY.

THE FREEZE WARNING IS FOR NORTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHWEST
NEW HAMPSHIRE.

A COLD NIGHT IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH LOW TEMPERATURES DROPPING
NEAR OR A FEW DEGREES BELOW FREEZING. THE COLD TEMPERATURES
COMBINED WITH LIGHT WINDS WILL RESULT IN A WIDESPREAD FREEZE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT
TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS
SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.



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Offline pikeking

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #23 on: Oct 09, 2010, 08:06 PM »
Better go out and cover the Mums, or the wife will kill me!!!
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Offline rickyriged

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #24 on: Oct 09, 2010, 08:51 PM »
i start my year off the same place every year chartley pond and freezes up before rest of ponds in the area
i drive by on way home from work and check when ice starts
and can stand 1.5 inches but would never would try and fish
i wait till about 3 and wear vest untill about 4 to 5 inches
and i only weigh 155 dressed to fish
 ice by mid december hopping for biggining of december
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Offline mbs1957

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #25 on: Oct 09, 2010, 10:26 PM »
Early cold this year I'll say end of Nov.
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Offline pikeking

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #26 on: Oct 10, 2010, 12:57 AM »
I like your way of thinking!!! It's going to be 30 tonight...
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Offline Burns

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #27 on: Oct 10, 2010, 07:44 AM »
Brigham Pond in Hubbardston.......Dec. 18th  :tipup:
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Offline THE JIGGER

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #28 on: Oct 10, 2010, 12:27 PM »
Quote from: GrizlyGarou on Oct 09, 2010, 03:21 PM
H=4(square root of p)

H is the thickness of the ice, p is the total load in tons.

I weigh in at 160 with gear on, so in theory 1.13 inches of clear perfect ice would hold me up. Ain't no way I'm going out on an inch and and eighth, though! My luck, I'd catch a huge fish and as soon as I pulled it out and held it to get the hook out the ice would crack...


Scotty,that's real wishful thinking on pulling out a fish that big. ;D ;D ;D ;D
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Offline GrizlyGarou

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Re: First ice predictions?
« Reply #29 on: Oct 10, 2010, 12:36 PM »
Quote from: THE JIGGER on Oct 10, 2010, 12:27 PM
Scotty,that's real wishful thinking on pulling out a fish that big. ;D ;D ;D ;D

You're forgetting my superior fishing skills, obviously. And the stupid dance I do when I catch a big fish!

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