Author Topic: first ice, best guess (Read 6378 times)

Spider1 · « **on:** Oct 24, 2017, 05:20 AM »

ok guys, lets hear all the predictions and wishful thoughts. When do you think you will get to walk on water this year? I'm gonna be optimistically realistic.

Dec. 16th.

icehound67 · « **Reply #1 on:** Oct 24, 2017, 05:34 AM »

The way it looks now, that would be great!!

supervdl · « **Reply #2 on:** Oct 24, 2017, 07:19 AM »

Last season I was the first time on the ice the weekend before Christmas. I am hoping for the same or a little better and they way the long-term forecast is, I would take it. So I am hoping for 12/16 as well. Looking at the forecast and since I won't be the guy out on 3 inch ice, it might slip another week.

RuttNutt · « **Reply #3 on:** Oct 24, 2017, 07:26 AM »

I'm gonna say Nov 23rd!

May be more wishful thinking than realistic prediction, but hey, I'm an eternal optimist!

Chris338378 · « **Reply #4 on:** Oct 24, 2017, 09:34 PM »

Not soon enough. LOL I'm going to be optimistic and say a prayer with this one, December 10th.

RuttNutt · « **Reply #5 on:** Oct 25, 2017, 07:19 AM »

If this forecast holds, it may be closer to Dec 3rd!

https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/shohola-township-pa/18458/daily-weather-forecast/2156179?day=41

supervdl · « **Reply #6 on:** Oct 25, 2017, 08:52 AM »

Yeah, big change in the forecast - I noticed this morning. Dec 3 certainly works for me :-)

Spider1 · « **Reply #7 on:** Oct 25, 2017, 08:56 AM »

Accuweather? I'd sooner trust the wooly worms, LOL!

supervdl · « **Reply #8 on:** Oct 25, 2017, 09:13 AM »

LOL!! You have a point...

Jason1817 · « **Reply #9 on:** Oct 25, 2017, 10:06 AM »

I’m gonna guess 12/6 4.5 inch of ice in/around tioga county PA

IceholeHEN · « **Reply #10 on:** Oct 25, 2017, 10:41 AM »

my guess is 12/12 with 4 inches of clear

chez · « **Reply #11 on:** Oct 25, 2017, 05:03 PM »

Im thinkinking 1st or 2nd week january.
If we are lucky.
Weather is looking warm on most reports
Ive been seeing.
Im hoping NY gets good ice so i can get up on Oneida with the boys.

RuttNutt · « **Reply #12 on:** Oct 27, 2017, 06:44 AM »

Ba Humbug! We don't want to hear talk like that, Chez!

PaWhiskerWacker · « **Reply #13 on:** Oct 27, 2017, 07:05 AM »

We all hope for ice by 2marrow! I fish the early stuff, once there is 1.5" I am pokin'! I say by dec 20, just in time for a late birthday/ early Christmas present!

aquarium234 · « **Reply #14 on:** Oct 27, 2017, 07:12 AM »

I made it on weekend before Christmas myself last year, If I can repeat that with the start we have had so far this fall i'll be happy. I just want safe ice, I hated having to leave my snowmobile in the trailer last year as I walked out.....thank goodness for smitty sleds......I have way to much stuff to just walk out dragging a regular sled....

PaWhiskerWacker · « **Reply #15 on:** Oct 27, 2017, 07:20 AM »

I made a smitty 2 years back, I drag in deep now a lot of time with loads of gear. I found that the smitty hung me up in the deep stuff? I went to a jet sled xl and it was big enough to not tip over in the deep stuff and keep my gear up on top of snow better. Now just a pair of snow shoes would be the bees knees

Spider1 · « **Reply #16 on:** Oct 27, 2017, 07:21 AM »

The report I saw from Todd Crawford that said October would be slightly above average but Nov and Dec would be slightly below average for the NE.

https://weather.com/forecast/national/news/temperature-outlook-october-november-december-2017

RuttNutt · « **Reply #17 on:** Oct 27, 2017, 08:57 AM »

I like the looks of that, SPider!

And it seems to match up with what Accuweather is saying now!

Chris338378 · « **Reply #18 on:** Oct 27, 2017, 02:19 PM »

More good news.

Eyemadness354 · « **Reply #19 on:** Oct 29, 2017, 01:20 PM »

It's cold here in creekside today I'm hoping in a few more weeks water temp will fall and skim ice will start to form...I'm ready to get out on ice since the boat is winterized and Erie eyes are about done..

PaWhiskerWacker · « **Reply #20 on:** Oct 30, 2017, 05:31 AM »

3 days of straight rain here in nwpa, great for the steelhead! If it was just a little colder this rain would have been a crippling snow storm...

blackjack1 · « **Reply #21 on:** Oct 31, 2017, 06:00 PM »

according to the wooley worm we will be icefishing by dec 17 in ne pa

Chris338378 · « **Reply #22 on:** Oct 31, 2017, 08:49 PM »

I hope you're right.

PaWhiskerWacker · « **Reply #23 on:** Nov 01, 2017, 07:21 AM »

Ice looks good here in NWPA this mornin!!! Totally fishable!!!

Eyemadness354 · « **Reply #24 on:** Nov 02, 2017, 05:46 PM »

A little on the warm side today and for the next week and a half.... That cold spell we had got me excited hopefully it returns....

iceman4667 · « **Reply #25 on:** Nov 04, 2017, 07:23 PM »

First week of the new year I think . hope it's sooner

RuttNutt · « **Reply #26 on:** Nov 07, 2017, 06:55 AM »

Very interesting!

https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/shohola-township-pa/18458/hourly-weather-forecast/2156179?hour=95

12 degrees Friday night?!

MumbleSEED · « **Reply #27 on:** Nov 07, 2017, 10:55 AM »

I think Santa is going to bring me good ice for Christmas. If it comes sooner I'll let the first 5 people who see me on the ice attempt to smack the smile off my face!

Chris338378 · « **Reply #28 on:** Nov 07, 2017, 11:24 AM »

Right now it's 33 degrees and they're calling for snow showers starting at 12:30P.M., lows in the 20's until Friday when they're saying it's going to go down to 13 degrees, and then next week the lows everyday are going to be 34 or colder. Hopefully this is a sign that it's going to start staying cold and we'll have an early season. Either way this cold snap will definitely cool down the water.

PikeChaser198 · « **Reply #29 on:** Nov 07, 2017, 12:00 PM »

Hoping for second week of December

News:

Author Topic: first ice, best guess (Read 6378 times)