Author Topic: dang... not looking good. (Read 6566 times)

Spider1 · « **on:** Aug 21, 2018, 05:44 AM »

well, I just checked a few of the long range outlooks and they all say the same thing. Moderate El-Nino. The prediction for this winter is above average temps almost everywhere with more chance of rain than snow in the NE. I'm hoping they are wrong, but they nailed it the last few years.

KingPerch · « **Reply #1 on:** Aug 21, 2018, 06:17 AM »

Quote from: Spider1 on Aug 21, 2018, 05:44 AM

well, I just checked a few of the long range outlooks and they all say the same thing. Moderate El-Nino. The prediction for this winter is above average temps almost everywhere with more chance of rain than snow in the NE. I'm hoping they are wrong, but they nailed it the last few years.

You guys are welcome a bit further north. Be sure to bring Uncle Chez along!! 😎

Spider1 · « **Reply #2 on:** Aug 21, 2018, 06:27 AM »

Thanks Brother, I hope we can do it this year! But sometimes ya just wanna stop off at the local lake for some pannies or perch and it sucks when you can't walk out cuz the ice is rotten. I'm hoping we get some good ice early. Last year I gave up early because of rotten ice on my hometown lakes. Way too many sad stories last year.

CowDawg · « **Reply #3 on:** Aug 26, 2018, 09:46 PM »

Quote from: KingPerch on Aug 21, 2018, 06:17 AM

You guys are welcome a bit further north. Be sure to bring Uncle Chez along!! 😎

That would be one heck of a long ride with Uncle Chez in the truck!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Indiana_Lou · « **Reply #4 on:** Aug 29, 2018, 06:32 PM »

Not sure where you got your report but I just read that this is going to be a colder, snowier (not so good) winter. We can only hope because we are long over do. Unfortunately if the snow follows the pattern of all the rain we've had we can be shoveling our way out on to the ice. Let's hope that the cold is correct. Lou

Chris338378 · « **Reply #5 on:** Aug 29, 2018, 10:08 PM »

Quote from: CowDawg on Aug 26, 2018, 09:46 PM

That would be one heck of a long ride with Uncle Chez in the truck!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Disposable ear plugs would fix that.

chilly-willy · « **Reply #6 on:** Aug 30, 2018, 01:00 AM »

Hopefully this forcast is correct..

https://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather-outlook/2019-winter-forecast

Spider1 · « **Reply #7 on:** Aug 30, 2018, 06:24 AM »

yeah, I'm hoping for a good winterlike winter. I hate a muddy Christmas. I never put much stock in the farmers almanac, it seems more like entertainment reading, they've been wrong as much as right. I tend to stick with the noaa forcasts, they have been pretty spot on every year. I just hope they blew it for this year. But like they said in the article I read, it's early and things change. I'm hoping for a foot and a half of ice with little snow... right up into April

tubbie · « **Reply #8 on:** Sep 10, 2018, 04:39 PM »

Hello all this will be my 3rd winter here and I still have not got out on the ice. Moving to Gettysburg area from michigan and I just have not found good ice. But I am learning of more lakes the longer I am here. So hopefully will get out this year.

NEZ · « **Reply #9 on:** Sep 19, 2018, 11:38 PM »

Way, Way, Way too early to predict the ice. Seen forecasts showing warm winter, one cold winter and one mod temps with lots of snow. This tells me that no one knows what the heck it is going to do until ice forms. No doubt we will be able to get on somewhere in PA no matter what the weather is. Nez

Ice Scratcher · « **Reply #10 on:** Sep 20, 2018, 12:36 AM »

The woolly bear catipillars are telling a different forcast..

<°)))>{

chilly-willy · « **Reply #11 on:** Sep 20, 2018, 06:55 PM »

Quote from: Ice Scratcher on Sep 20, 2018, 12:36 AM

The woolly bear catipillars are telling a different forcast..

<°)))>{

Have not seen one yet.. so what are the band's saying to you??

Ice Scratcher · « **Reply #12 on:** Sep 20, 2018, 07:08 PM »

Black is spring and fall, orange is winter..

Lots of orange on the ones I've been seeing..

<°)))>{

Iceassin · « **Reply #13 on:** Sep 20, 2018, 07:14 PM »

Quote from: Ice Scratcher on Sep 20, 2018, 07:08 PM

Black is spring and fall, orange is winter..

Lots of orange on the ones I've been seeing..

<°)))>{

l trust a Caterpillar over a weatherman all day everyday.

chilly-willy · « **Reply #14 on:** Sep 21, 2018, 04:53 AM »

Quote from: Ice Scratcher on Sep 20, 2018, 07:08 PM

Black is spring and fall, orange is winter..

Lots of orange on the ones I've been seeing..

<°)))>{

Should get pictures of them if you can when you see them again!

Spider1 · « **Reply #15 on:** Sep 21, 2018, 05:22 AM »

yeah... wooly bear worms.... the actually theory was that the larger the orange band was meant the more mild a winter would be. Here's a link to a story about it. Personally, I'm pretty sure it's a folklore myth.

https://www.almanac.com/content/woolly-bear-caterpillars-and-weather-prediction

supervdl · « **Reply #16 on:** Sep 21, 2018, 07:05 AM »

LOL - the wooly worms again.

I personally think it is too far in advance to make any predictions. What killed us last year was the constant rollercoaster of temps with several warm spells that ruined the ice. No way you can predict patterns like this four months in advance. They don't even get the forecast for tomorrow right.

Hoping for more orange in the wooly worms and a good season. In the meantime, I enjoy the good flows on the creeks and work on my trout fly fishing skills which I really good into this year.

supervdl · « **Reply #17 on:** Sep 21, 2018, 07:08 AM »

Oh, I just read the link - we want more black in the worms so hoping for lots of black and little orange...

Chris338378 · « **Reply #18 on:** Sep 21, 2018, 08:22 AM »

When I changed to oil in my truck and wife's SUV the in the beginning of the month I found a mouse nest in both the air dams at the air filter. If they're already building nests we might be in for a really cold winter. I've never seen them do that in first week of September.

jethro · « **Reply #19 on:** Sep 21, 2018, 08:35 AM »

Farmers Almanac says cold and snowy.

chez · « **Reply #20 on:** Sep 28, 2018, 04:32 AM »

Lots of Acorns on the ground everywhere.
That has allways been a good sign of a cold winter.
Just my OPINION.

No one has to ride with me.
Save your money for Ear Plugs
And buy a personality.

chez · « **Reply #21 on:** Sep 28, 2018, 04:36 AM »

Lots of Acorns on the ground everywhere.
That has allways been a good sign of a cold winter.
Just my OPINION.

No one has to ride with me.
Save your money for Ear Plugs
And buy a personality.

RuttNutt · « **Reply #22 on:** Sep 28, 2018, 08:35 AM »

I'm hoping this forecast is right!

https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/promised-land-pa/18426/daily-weather-forecast/2097971?day=61

Chris338378 · « **Reply #23 on:** Oct 01, 2018, 07:13 PM »

Quote from: chez on Sep 28, 2018, 04:36 AM

Lots of Acorns on the ground everywhere.
That has allways been a good sign of a cold winter.
Just my OPINION.

No one has to ride with me.
Save your money for Ear Plugs
And buy a personality.

Take it easy Brother, there's not many times I get to get a shot in on you and couldn't pass it up. I agree with you about the acorns being a good sign of a long cold winter, it's Mother Natures way of taking care of the animals.

icewagon · « **Reply #24 on:** Oct 06, 2018, 10:35 PM »

Quote from: Chris338378 on Sep 21, 2018, 08:22 AM

When I changed to oil in my truck and wife's SUV the in the beginning of the month I found a mouse nest in both the air dams at the air filter. If they're already building nests we might be in for a really cold winter. I've never seen them do that in first week of September.
[/quot

HA HA HA e]

Ice Scratcher · « **Reply #25 on:** Oct 07, 2018, 09:19 AM »

Quote from: chilly-willy on Sep 21, 2018, 04:53 AM

Should get pictures of them if you can when you see them again!

Latest forcast..

<°)))>{

Chris338378 · « **Reply #26 on:** Oct 13, 2018, 06:05 PM »

It went down to 39 at my house this morning and they're saying it's supposed to be in the 30's for the lows for the next ten days. I'm liking that and hope it gets rid of the never ending rain.

bootstrap · « **Reply #27 on:** Oct 13, 2018, 06:14 PM »

cold temps here for the next 10 days or more. the water is really low here. there is less of it to freeze helps early ice right? wishful thinking.

picked a large amount of nightcrawlers the other night when it was 75 and raining.

4x4Dad · « **Reply #28 on:** Oct 21, 2018, 06:45 AM »

If these temperatures keep dropping like they have lately , we'll have good ice by December ! Just had to keep it positive .

All the gear is cleaned up since last year . So as soon as the brave souls of early ice give the thumbs up , I'm ready to roll .

supervdl · « **Reply #29 on:** Oct 26, 2018, 10:36 AM »

https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/promised-land-pa/18426/december-weather/2097971?monyr=12/1/2018&view=table

starting to look a little better...

News:

Author Topic: dang... not looking good. (Read 6566 times)

CowDawg

icewagon