I was out last weekend off of Orton Lane in Moultonboro Bay and we had about the same 14" mentioned. That said, there was open water / new ice close to shore just off to the right by shore which was easy to avoid when you could see it, but with the new snowfall you'll want to spud for sure if your trying some place new to you close to shore. It wasn't clearly from a circulator....so guess I'm just saying like everyone else take your time...and good luck.