Author Topic: First Ice Prediction (Read 4858 times)

cabst119 · « **on:** Nov 03, 2014, 07:03 PM »

My prediction is that we will be on 3" of ice wrangling 12" pickerel at Black Moshannon before any of them boys in the Poconos get out on their private ponds!

Prediction for first PA ice, Black Moshannon, Black Friday, November 28, 2014. Pickerel pictures will be forthcoming that evening.

delawareriver · « **Reply #1 on:** Nov 03, 2014, 07:41 PM »

My guess I'll be out on my local mountain pond December 7th. Usually out before the Pocono boys hit the ice and I'm well south just gotta know where to look but November ice is hard to find

nite eyes · « **Reply #2 on:** Nov 03, 2014, 09:50 PM »

Quote from: delawareriver on Nov 03, 2014, 07:41 PM

My guess I'll be out on my local mountain pond December 7th. Usually out before the Pocono boys hit the ice and I'm well south just gotta know where to look but November ice is hard to find

If my memory serves me right, I have a picture of you on some November ice not too many years ago...

Walleyekiller · « **Reply #3 on:** Nov 04, 2014, 07:18 AM »

I hope your right with the black friday prediction cabst119, I know me & Fishbones will be chasing pickerel flags with you all day!

chez · « **Reply #4 on:** Nov 04, 2014, 07:40 AM »

IM GUESSING DECEMBER 13TH.Had 6" of good ice on OAKS last year DECEMBER 26TH.Im thinking its been a little cooler, sooner this year so maybe a week or 2 earlier.Would be nice

Van_Cleaver · « **Reply #5 on:** Nov 04, 2014, 10:47 AM »

I'll go with Dec. 2nd. We got out on a fair sized lake at altitude last year on that day and had a blast! Mark, JM, AP, you know what I'm sayin..... I think the ice got soft right after and then tightened back up a week or so later.,

icewagon · « **Reply #6 on:** Nov 04, 2014, 02:38 PM »

Not gonna be any ice this year so all you ice fisherman who don't want to store all that gear till next season ,send me your address and I will come and take it off your hands

wileyc3 · « **Reply #7 on:** Nov 04, 2014, 02:41 PM »

I was on the last day of rifle deer season, hope that works out that way again this year or sooner.

deer george · « **Reply #8 on:** Nov 04, 2014, 06:27 PM »

I was on Hills Creek Dec 21 with my grandson had 5" of ice, we fished all day no fish but had a ball. I can only say I hope it gets cold soon I am looking to say second week Dec. I would Like to walk on water.

hardwaterwalker814 · « **Reply #9 on:** Nov 04, 2014, 06:39 PM »

December 18th is my guess I hope sooner got some vacation time I'm trying to save for ice fishing so sooner the better

delawareriver · « **Reply #10 on:** Nov 06, 2014, 05:23 AM »

Quote from: nite eyes on Nov 03, 2014, 09:50 PM

If my memory serves me right, I have a picture of you on some November ice not too many years ago...

yourwith right I have found safe November ice once or twice, never fished it due to being yo busy with hunting yet.

rball · « **Reply #11 on:** Nov 06, 2014, 06:41 PM »

here in Saranac lake ny last year was dec 16th and was the earliest have ever been on goo solid ice. I would love to be at it roughly then this year but im thinking more towards Christmas.

NEZ · « **Reply #12 on:** Nov 06, 2014, 07:50 PM »

Gonna say december 17 on Black Mo

Van_Cleaver · « **Reply #13 on:** Nov 06, 2014, 10:48 PM »

Mark; wasn't there supposed to be a lunker perch in that photo?

I'd love to get out that early this year. Looking forward to fishing with you again.
Dec. 2, 2013
Mark and Joe

Yours truly and ap

Those poor fish;

tasted pretty good as I recall....

Fishbones' · « **Reply #14 on:** Nov 06, 2014, 11:22 PM »

Was on the ice Nov 30 last year...im guessing late December this year...sure would be nice to have the ice thru Christmas break...but the order of stuff from fishusa I received this morning makes me wish it was tomorrow!!! gonna be hard to top the ice conditions and jigging we had last year...hopefully the tip ups with big bait are more cooperative this time around!!

tackleshack · « **Reply #15 on:** Nov 07, 2014, 02:56 PM »

I'm just hoping that once it starts freezing, it stays cold! Seems like every year we get on the ice for a few days, then get hit with a December warm spell or warm rain that beats it up again. Last year I was walking on Hills Creek checking conditions around December 4th, then it warmed up and I didn't fish for a few weeks.

I'm optimistic though, I'm predicting we're on at least Hills Creek by the 2nd week of December.

Time will tell. Until then, I'll be rearranging the shop and playing with my new gear. Can't wait to test out the LX7 I got last week!

Team Disaster · « **Reply #16 on:** Nov 11, 2014, 07:19 PM »

Hoping to be on the ice by Christmas break down my way. My guess is safe ice up north by 12/13. To a long and safe 14/15 season!

wiredstone · « **Reply #17 on:** Nov 12, 2014, 03:07 PM »

I say Thanksgiving. Tobyhanna was 37deg last weekend. Should ice over next week

NEZ · « **Reply #18 on:** Nov 12, 2014, 06:30 PM »

Really like the forecast, should really bring the lake temps down at night. Here's to a long safe ice season

hardwaterwalker814 · « **Reply #19 on:** Nov 13, 2014, 12:55 PM »

Forecast for the next ten days looks good nothing above freezing that's a good start still guessing 12/18 but I'd be happy if it were sooner I'm ready to watch the flags flying

icefishermik · « **Reply #20 on:** Nov 13, 2014, 02:09 PM »

I hope it's BEFORE hunting season is over. I love having Lake Arthur to myself for first ice. maybe ice for the gathering?

J Miser · « **Reply #21 on:** Nov 14, 2014, 10:17 PM »

Finally decided to come back to the shanty. And what pessimism do I see?

Black Friday, December 2nd, by Christmas............. .CMON People!!!!

Is no one noticing what I'm seeing - things are icing up, right now, as I write this

And it may very well not melt

And if it don't melt, it will grow.

I'm not going to be dumb and make any predictions cause I've been wrong too many times, but lets see, what were the dates of first man on the ice that last few years:

11/27/05
12/9/06
12/3/07
11/22/08
12/11/09
12/8/10
11/30/12
11/28/13

Its cold boys, next week low teens and high 20s during the day, it could be next weekend up at Emerald. Deer Lake will lock up, heck, Leisure will lock up, just a matter of how much it'll grow. I'm sure I'll be throwing rocks on my ponds seeing if they bounce, break through, or stick in.

I told my Polish boys, if theres ice next weekend, no New York for me to chase Browns, I'll be on the ice. Mike believes it, and hes always out a day before me. He also weighs 50 pounds less than me. It might be that a 200 pound man may make it out next weekend while I may have to "weight" for that extra half inch. Go get em boys, its about dang time. Mark, Van, AP, time to get it together.

Dr. JM

Van_Cleaver · « **Reply #22 on:** Nov 15, 2014, 12:41 AM »

Pete, I almost called you cause when I looked at the forecast for Mt. Pocono, I thought ," those guys might be out by next weekend or earlier".

Not one for 2-2.5 in. myself but the temps they are predicting are way below average. We'll be verging on making ice in the South lands. Be safe everyone!

hardwaterwalker814 · « **Reply #23 on:** Nov 15, 2014, 02:10 AM »

I'm really hoping I can get on the ice by the second week of December got some vacation time at work and I would prefer to spend it on the ice not on the couch

Chris338378 · « **Reply #24 on:** Nov 16, 2014, 09:41 PM »

It sucks that they lost the skim ice but the good part is we know they're primed to make ice as soon as the temps drop.

PaWhiskerWacker · « **Reply #25 on:** Nov 18, 2014, 06:01 AM »

-15 windchill last night here in nwpa, hard to believe it is this cold already!!!!!!! High of 20 2day!

Crappiehunter1981 · « **Reply #26 on:** Nov 18, 2014, 09:24 PM »

Not too sure when it will be but I hope it is soon........

flyboyroy · « **Reply #27 on:** Nov 19, 2014, 06:57 PM »

i predict some one will put on a life vest and drape a couple of screwdrivers arround their neck. then walk on pieces of plywood on 1 1/2 inches so they can say they got out first. LOL

NEZ · « **Reply #28 on:** Nov 19, 2014, 07:27 PM »

Think we are gonna be on the ice sooner than later. Black Mo is froze over, BUT NOT SAFE YET!!! If the weather continues, I think we will be on definitely by deer season. Nez

Chris338378 · « **Reply #29 on:** Nov 19, 2014, 09:39 PM »

If all goes well I might be able to get on a pond I've been watching this Friday, which will be the earliest I've ever been on the ice. Keeping my fingers crossed.

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Author Topic: First Ice Prediction (Read 4858 times)

icewagon